Race 4B

pere-marquette

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carl Eaton 45.5% 26.4% 14.6% 8.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 8.5% 12.1% 11.9% 16.2% 17.1% 14.1% 10.3% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Lindsey Clark 12.2% 14.9% 17.2% 16.9% 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Edward Marcheselli 2.6% 5.4% 7.4% 8.6% 12.6% 14.5% 18.3% 15.1% 10.7% 4.8%
Colin Higgins 2.9% 4.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.9% 11.5% 18.0% 18.1% 15.5% 8.2%
Miles Clark 10.1% 12.7% 14.6% 14.9% 16.6% 13.4% 10.1% 5.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Max Spehlmann 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 1.7% 3.9% 6.2% 7.3% 14.9% 20.4% 41.9%
Bogdan Visan 1.6% 1.8% 3.9% 4.8% 6.6% 8.5% 13.3% 17.2% 24.8% 17.5%
Lisette Boer 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 8.0% 11.5% 16.9% 23.0% 26.6%
Peter Sauer 14.3% 19.2% 19.3% 18.0% 12.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.