Race 5B

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Sauer 17.5% 22.0% 19.5% 17.2% 12.2% 5.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 48.1% 28.9% 13.7% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 9.3% 11.5% 15.5% 16.8% 19.2% 14.3% 8.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Lindsey Clark 11.3% 19.1% 22.5% 19.6% 11.7% 10.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Lisette Boer 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.6% 13.1% 15.7% 20.6% 21.9%
Edward Marcheselli 4.9% 5.7% 8.3% 10.9% 13.8% 16.8% 15.3% 13.4% 8.1% 2.8%
Bogdan Visan 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 6.2% 7.6% 11.0% 17.1% 18.5% 18.9% 14.0%
Max Spehlmann 0.8% 2.2% 1.7% 3.3% 5.1% 8.9% 10.4% 11.6% 21.4% 34.6%
Victor Nartovich 3.4% 4.1% 7.7% 9.6% 13.6% 15.2% 15.8% 16.2% 8.8% 5.6%
Connor McColl 1.1% 2.2% 4.0% 4.4% 7.6% 9.9% 11.3% 18.6% 20.1% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.