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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.47+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.57-2.12vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.91+0.74vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.84+1.40vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.67+0.10vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.27-4.36vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.11-2.93vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.87-2.49vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.23-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Wisconsin0.470.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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1.88University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
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5.74Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.4Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.1Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
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3.64Marquette University0.270.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.51Hope College-1.870.0%1st Place
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8.14Lake Forest College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Sauer | 19.1% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Carl Eaton | 47.8% | 27.7% | 16.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Connor McColl | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| Bogdan Visan | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| Lindsey Clark | 10.7% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Lisette Boer | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 20.3% |
| Max Spehlmann | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.