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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Sauer 19.1% 21.3% 17.8% 17.5% 13.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Katherine Zimmerman 9.5% 12.4% 16.0% 17.0% 17.3% 13.1% 9.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Carl Eaton 47.8% 27.7% 16.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Marcheselli 3.7% 5.3% 7.3% 12.1% 15.8% 15.9% 17.9% 11.7% 7.0% 3.3%
Connor McColl 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.8% 7.3% 9.3% 11.9% 17.0% 21.1% 20.0%
Bogdan Visan 2.1% 2.9% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 11.7% 16.2% 16.0% 19.2% 14.7%
Lindsey Clark 10.7% 18.6% 21.4% 19.3% 14.4% 8.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Victor Nartovich 2.8% 5.4% 7.6% 9.6% 12.5% 15.7% 15.7% 16.2% 8.9% 5.6%
Lisette Boer 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 5.6% 11.9% 11.9% 16.9% 21.8% 20.3%
Max Spehlmann 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 4.1% 4.8% 6.7% 9.5% 15.3% 19.7% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.