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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.57-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.03+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47-1.29vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.91+0.08vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.87+0.87vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-2.23+0.33vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.61-1.60vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.67-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Minnesota1.570.4%1st Place
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4.52University of Minnesota-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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6.08Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.87Hope College-1.870.0%1st Place
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8.33Lake Forest College-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.4Marquette University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.5Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 26.7% | 26.3% | 20.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.3% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Carl Eaton | 36.3% | 30.6% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Clark | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Sauer | 12.6% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Lisette Boer | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 22.5% |
| Max Spehlmann | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 40.1% |
| Zachary Nordgren | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 15.4% |
| Bogdan Visan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.