Race 8B

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Clulo 25.7% 27.4% 19.7% 11.5% 9.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 39.4% 27.0% 18.7% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 7.3% 8.9% 11.6% 16.3% 18.1% 18.2% 11.4% 6.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Peter Sauer 11.4% 16.6% 20.1% 20.6% 14.9% 9.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Clark 8.7% 9.3% 14.4% 17.8% 17.8% 15.7% 9.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Max Spehlmann 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 3.2% 6.1% 9.8% 14.3% 21.2% 38.0%
Zachary Nordgren 1.5% 1.0% 2.6% 4.9% 6.5% 9.8% 17.2% 19.9% 20.7% 15.9%
Edward Marcheselli 2.9% 4.6% 6.2% 8.5% 15.0% 15.0% 18.3% 15.7% 9.5% 4.3%
Bogdan Visan 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 4.5% 5.8% 11.8% 13.3% 18.8% 23.3% 16.6%
Lisette Boer 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.7% 4.9% 9.5% 12.9% 18.0% 21.8% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.