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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.57-0.92vs Predicted
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4Marquette University1.11-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.11+0.21vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.91-1.14vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.87-0.30vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.67-1.76vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.61-2.80vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.23-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Minnesota1.570.4%1st Place
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2.66Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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3.51University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.86Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.7Hope College-1.870.0%1st Place
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7.24Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.2Marquette University-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.19Lake Forest College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Carl Eaton | 40.7% | 29.4% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 25.1% | 26.3% | 23.0% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Lisette Boer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 23.5% |
| Bogdan Visan | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 13.7% |
| Zachary Nordgren | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 15.6% |
| Max Spehlmann | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.