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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+8.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.37vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+6.52vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+5.76vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.00vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+5.63vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.98vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-0.80vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10+2.11vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81+0.01vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-0.68vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-7.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.61vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.92vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.02-7.36vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.97-4.29vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.15-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Brown University1.995.0%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University2.205.0%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.0%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Pennsylvania1.774.4%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.223.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University2.4214.2%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.387.7%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.814.5%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.103.5%1st Place
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4.21Stanford University3.3018.6%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.043.4%1st Place
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8.39Boston College2.096.1%1st Place
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13.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.922.1%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.026.0%1st Place
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12.71Old Dominion University0.971.9%1st Place
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12.1Tufts University1.153.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Young | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 20.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 17.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.