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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.00+9.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+3.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75+4.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23+0.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.62vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.79-3.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.80vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-6.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-8.48vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-2.59vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.25Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.41Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 34.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.