Race 10B

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carl Eaton 43.2% 28.1% 14.6% 9.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sauer 12.8% 17.8% 20.8% 21.0% 14.1% 8.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 25.7% 27.4% 21.2% 15.2% 7.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 6.8% 10.4% 15.5% 19.5% 18.2% 14.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Edward Marcheselli 4.4% 5.1% 8.7% 8.7% 14.3% 17.0% 17.7% 12.8% 8.2% 3.1%
Lisette Boer 1.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 6.5% 9.9% 13.3% 15.3% 22.3% 22.1%
Victor Nartovich 2.1% 2.8% 7.0% 8.3% 14.3% 15.0% 19.7% 14.7% 10.5% 5.6%
Zachary Nordgren 1.7% 2.1% 3.9% 5.8% 10.5% 10.8% 13.4% 19.0% 18.3% 14.5%
Bogdan Visan 1.4% 2.2% 3.7% 5.6% 7.0% 12.6% 13.5% 18.6% 19.9% 15.5%
Max Spehlmann 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.9% 4.9% 7.6% 8.9% 13.9% 19.1% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.