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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.86+1.30vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.35vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.08+0.29vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.02-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.37-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.95-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Pennsylvania1.860.4%1st Place
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2.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.3%1st Place
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3.29Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.01Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Virginia-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Probst | 35.9% | 26.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Roleke | 31.3% | 29.3% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Paige | 13.6% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 20.4% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 24.1% | 24.7% | 16.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 26.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 22.5% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.