← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Drexel University0.58+2.37vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland-0.37+2.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia-0.02+1.01vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.94vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-0.95+0.12vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.37Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
-
4.45University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.01University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
-
2.06Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.4%1st Place
-
5.12University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
-
1.98University of Pennsylvania1.860.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline DelVescovo | 10.6% | 15.5% | 27.3% | 25.3% | 15.1% | 6.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 3.2% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 30.9% | 25.5% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 7.7% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Roleke | 35.4% | 36.2% | 17.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Martha Diezemann | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 54.1% |
| Tanner Probst | 41.1% | 31.5% | 18.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.