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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.86+0.97vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.04vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.02+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.37-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Pennsylvania1.860.4%1st Place
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2.04Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.4%1st Place
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3.32Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Probst | 38.8% | 36.0% | 17.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Roleke | 40.0% | 29.6% | 19.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 11.3% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 25.5% | 15.9% | 4.1% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 5.3% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 28.2% | 25.9% | 14.8% |
| Martha Diezemann | 1.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 21.8% | 55.8% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 3.3% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 31.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.