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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+6.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.45vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.00+7.22vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.66vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+2.09vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75+5.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+3.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29+0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.93vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-0.80vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-1.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-2.95vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16+0.42vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.98vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.79-7.94vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.50-7.74vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.41Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.42Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 34.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.