← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.17+6.38vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.96+6.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.16+8.77vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.18+6.99vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.85+4.52vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.26+4.07vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.52+2.59vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.19-2.42vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.25-2.88vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.71-1.88vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.58vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.36-1.97vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.01-1.31vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.86-4.69vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University1.73-5.89vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.31-5.37vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-8.29vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.38Harvard University2.177.8%1st Place
-
8.01Cornell University1.967.9%1st Place
-
11.77University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
-
10.99Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
-
9.52Brown University1.854.3%1st Place
-
10.07College of Charleston1.264.5%1st Place
-
9.59Old Dominion University1.524.0%1st Place
-
5.58Stanford University2.1913.8%1st Place
-
6.12Yale University2.2511.8%1st Place
-
8.12Dartmouth College1.717.0%1st Place
-
11.58U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
-
10.03Boston College1.364.4%1st Place
-
11.69Tufts University1.013.2%1st Place
-
9.31Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
-
9.11Tulane University1.735.7%1st Place
-
10.63Roger Williams University1.313.3%1st Place
-
8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.8%1st Place
-
12.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.