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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.86-0.06vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.37+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.95+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.02-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.3%1st Place
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1.94University of Pennsylvania1.860.4%1st Place
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3.32Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Roleke | 34.7% | 35.8% | 20.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Tanner Probst | 43.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 11.6% | 15.7% | 25.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 31.2% | 26.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 54.5% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 5.7% | 7.7% | 18.2% | 26.5% | 26.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.