← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.86+1.00vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.58+1.33vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-0.95+2.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-0.02+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.37-0.49vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0University of Pennsylvania1.860.4%1st Place
-
3.33Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.02University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.04University of Virginia-0.020.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
-
2.09Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Probst | 40.1% | 31.7% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 11.5% | 17.5% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 14.8% | 6.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 3.2% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 51.9% |
| Jillian Ticatch | 6.5% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 14.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 3.3% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 31.4% | 27.3% |
| Matthew Roleke | 35.4% | 33.4% | 20.2% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.