← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.49+7.82vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+4.32vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+2.81vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.18+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+5.06vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.38-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.20-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.65+0.21vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.50-0.12vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-1.29vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.87vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.52-3.17vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.21-2.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.83-2.69vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.10-4.45vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.82-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.82Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.32Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.54Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.06Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
5.83Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.48Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.88Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.83Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.02Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.55Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
11.5Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% |
| Catherine Price | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 21.1% |
| Anna Weis | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.