← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.49+7.78vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.35+3.78vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.20+3.38vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.18+2.59vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+5.06vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.50+2.98vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.58+1.79vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.21+1.87vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.38-3.28vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.79vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.10-0.58vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.82-0.63vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.20-6.67vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.65-5.74vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.83-3.46vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.52-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.78Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
5.78Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.38Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.59Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.06Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.98Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.87Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.42Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
11.37Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.26Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.54University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.93Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Price | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Anna Weis | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 21.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.