← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.49+7.78vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.20+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.38+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.21+6.22vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.10+5.50vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.19vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.20-0.54vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35-2.29vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.50-0.12vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.52-1.11vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.18-4.56vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.65-3.61vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.58-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.82-2.67vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.83-3.50vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.23-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.78Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.34Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.69Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.22Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.5Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.46Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.88Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.89Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.44Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.39Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.64University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.33Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.04Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Price | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
| Anna Weis | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.