← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.85+8.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.36+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.18+7.98vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.73+5.13vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.17+2.39vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+5.50vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.71+1.13vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.56vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.96-0.54vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.26+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-1.61vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.31-1.63vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.52-3.43vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.26vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.01-3.34vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.19-10.44vs Predicted
-
17Yale University2.25-10.75vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.16-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.58Brown University1.854.6%1st Place
-
9.87Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
-
10.98Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
-
9.13Tulane University1.734.5%1st Place
-
7.39Harvard University2.177.5%1st Place
-
11.5U. S. Naval Academy1.182.6%1st Place
-
8.13Dartmouth College1.717.1%1st Place
-
8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.0%1st Place
-
8.46Cornell University1.965.6%1st Place
-
10.1College of Charleston1.264.6%1st Place
-
9.39Georgetown University1.866.1%1st Place
-
10.37Roger Williams University1.314.1%1st Place
-
9.57Old Dominion University1.524.4%1st Place
-
12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.4%1st Place
-
11.66Tufts University1.012.7%1st Place
-
5.56Stanford University2.1914.1%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University2.2511.3%1st Place
-
11.75University of Pennsylvania1.163.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Marina Conde | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 19.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.