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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+8.14vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+6.48vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+2.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.20vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+2.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.15vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-1.52vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-1.92vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.00-0.57vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16+1.26vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.58vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-6.33vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.29-6.86vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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13.26Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 35.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.