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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+7.88vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.21+7.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.10+6.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+4.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+0.55vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-4.07vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-2.14vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-1.66vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.80vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-8.58vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Catherine Price | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Anna Weis | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 18.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.