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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.41+6.24vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.98+6.88vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+5.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.34vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.97+4.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-2.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.48+0.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-0.38vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.76+0.75vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.79-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-2.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-4.56vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.55-2.45vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-6.14vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-4.18vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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3.43Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Huebner | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 25.8% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Camille Matile | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| Claire Havig | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% |
| Caroline King | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.