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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.07vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+6.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+0.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.48+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.97+4.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+1.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30+0.91vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.41-0.82vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98-0.06vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.79-0.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.52-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-3.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-3.52vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-6.89vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.36Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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10.48Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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11.22Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 25.7% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Annie Spence | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Camille Matile | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| Jessica Williams | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% |
| Claire Havig | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Caroline King | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.