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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.41+6.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+6.37vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+5.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72-0.57vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.48+2.18vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.41+1.49vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+1.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-0.70vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76-0.08vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+0.11vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-3.00vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-5.16vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.79-5.18vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.30-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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3.43Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.18Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Matile | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 25.4% | 21.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.1% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Claire Havig | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Caroline King | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 20.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 16.8% |
| Annie Spence | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.