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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.41+6.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+6.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-1.60vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+2.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98+2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+0.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52+1.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.48-2.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.41-5.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-4.29vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.12-6.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.74Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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3.4Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Matile | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.2% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Havig | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Annie Spence | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.9% |
| Lily McGrath | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Claire Huebner | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Caroline King | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.