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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.48+5.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.07vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+4.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+2.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30+1.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-3.52vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+0.87vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.76+0.73vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.79-0.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.41-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.59vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-1.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-3.53vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-5.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.52-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.48Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily McGrath | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Claire Havig | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Camille Matile | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 25.6% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Claire Huebner | 8.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Caroline King | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.0% |
| Annie Spence | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.