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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+7.28vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+9.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.76+6.81vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+5.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-2.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.48+0.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.79+1.59vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-1.68vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+0.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.52-0.33vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-3.96vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.41-5.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.30-6.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.15-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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3.44Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.71Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 20.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.4% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Jessica Williams | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% |
| Camille Matile | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% |
| Claire Havig | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Annie Spence | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.