← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.25+5.43vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+8.97vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.73+6.03vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.36+6.07vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.52+4.42vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.96+2.38vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.31+3.41vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.85+1.49vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.66vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.17-2.66vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.71-2.84vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.19-6.47vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.23vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.49vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.01-3.34vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston1.26-6.01vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.10vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University1.86-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.43Yale University2.2510.5%1st Place
-
10.97Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
-
9.03Tulane University1.735.7%1st Place
-
10.07Boston College1.363.9%1st Place
-
9.42Old Dominion University1.525.1%1st Place
-
8.38Cornell University1.967.0%1st Place
-
10.41Roger Williams University1.314.1%1st Place
-
9.49Brown University1.854.9%1st Place
-
12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.2%1st Place
-
7.34Harvard University2.178.4%1st Place
-
8.16Dartmouth College1.717.3%1st Place
-
5.53Stanford University2.1913.2%1st Place
-
8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
-
11.51U. S. Naval Academy1.182.6%1st Place
-
11.66Tufts University1.013.6%1st Place
-
9.99College of Charleston1.264.6%1st Place
-
11.9University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
-
9.28Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Marina Conde | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 20.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.