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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+9.10vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+3.87vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.00+4.41vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50+0.05vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27+0.40vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-2.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16+2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-5.37vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-7.50vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.79-8.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.1Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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13.32Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 35.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.