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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.33+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.36+0.68vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-1.55+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-0.42vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.05-0.55vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.75-0.16vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.54-1.49vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.83-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.54-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-3.20-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71College of Charleston2.330.6%1st Place
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2.68University of South Carolina1.360.2%1st Place
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7.24Clemson University-1.550.0%1st Place
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3.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.45Clemson University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.84North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.51Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgia Institute of Technology-1.830.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Tennessee-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Mignon | 55.3% | 26.9% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 20.4% | 30.1% | 26.1% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heyward Derrick | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 8.4% |
| Graham Shivers | 8.8% | 17.4% | 25.0% | 21.8% | 15.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| James Robertson | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Avery Fulford | 2.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Henri Smulders | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 12.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 8.1% |
| William Axon | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.