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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+8.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.36+7.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+4.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+4.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+3.06vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16+4.87vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+1.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85+0.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01+1.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-0.01vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-1.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.67vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-3.43vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.26vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.47vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.25-10.76vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.73-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Old Dominion University1.524.9%1st Place
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9.87Boston College1.365.2%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.177.7%1st Place
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8.28Cornell University1.967.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College1.716.5%1st Place
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5.59Stanford University2.1912.2%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania1.162.9%1st Place
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9.4Georgetown University1.865.7%1st Place
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9.64Brown University1.855.1%1st Place
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11.36Tufts University1.013.5%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.183.9%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston1.264.3%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University1.313.8%1st Place
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12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.7%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.2510.2%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| bella casaretto | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 20.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.