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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+6.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+6.94vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+10.18vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+3.60vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.47vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23+1.15vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.96vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75+0.33vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-4.45vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.00-2.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.41vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-5.90vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.79-8.85vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.18Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.33Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 32.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.