Race 4A

saisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hana Zwick 8.6% 11.0% 13.6% 17.8% 18.8% 13.3% 10.3% 5.8% 0.8%
Shaynah True 4.8% 5.2% 8.4% 14.2% 17.0% 17.7% 15.3% 12.0% 5.4%
Alie Toppa 41.3% 28.2% 17.1% 8.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Streater 22.7% 27.3% 20.7% 15.7% 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 10.9% 16.4% 17.5% 16.0% 14.9% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Carrie Marshall 2.9% 3.0% 6.5% 7.3% 11.6% 14.1% 18.2% 22.2% 14.2%
Allison Chenard 3.8% 3.3% 7.3% 8.1% 11.5% 17.9% 19.0% 19.4% 9.7%
Megan Ploch 3.6% 4.7% 5.9% 9.2% 11.5% 15.0% 18.9% 18.6% 12.6%
Victoria Newberry 1.4% 0.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 9.3% 17.8% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.