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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+8.26vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.69+8.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+8.34vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+3.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.61+5.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+8.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+1.01vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+1.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-1.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-2.79vs Predicted
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12Washington College3.65-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.13+3.87vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-5.96vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.43vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.53-0.78vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.45vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.62-7.22vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-7.99vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.31-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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14.08Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.85Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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16.87University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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8.04Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.22Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.55SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| David Hernandez | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 11.2% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| William Brown | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 42.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| Harry Scott | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.