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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+8.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+3.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+2.35vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+1.25vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-0.85vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00+1.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-1.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.71vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-1.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-4.71vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.79-7.94vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-6.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.52Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.36Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.36Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.