← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+10.80vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.85+7.59vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.36+7.11vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.17+3.47vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.26+5.24vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.65vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.19-1.40vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.25-1.76vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.96vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.31+0.56vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.71-2.69vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.18-0.97vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.96-4.77vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.80-6.07vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.52-5.37vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University1.73-6.63vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.29vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.01-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.8U. S. Naval Academy1.182.4%1st Place
-
9.59Brown University1.854.4%1st Place
-
10.11Boston College1.364.6%1st Place
-
7.47Harvard University2.178.7%1st Place
-
10.24College of Charleston1.264.6%1st Place
-
8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
-
5.6Stanford University2.1913.4%1st Place
-
6.24Yale University2.2511.5%1st Place
-
11.96University of Pennsylvania1.162.4%1st Place
-
10.56Roger Williams University1.314.0%1st Place
-
8.31Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
-
11.03Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
-
8.23Cornell University1.966.9%1st Place
-
7.93Georgetown University1.807.3%1st Place
-
9.63Old Dominion University1.524.5%1st Place
-
9.37Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
-
12.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.5%1st Place
-
11.56Tufts University1.013.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Doble | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Marina Conde | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 19.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.