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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+9.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+8.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+8.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+3.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74+0.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.87vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.51vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.00+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-3.75vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.11vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.68-7.51vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.29-6.85vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.12Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katii Gullick | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 32.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.