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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.18+9.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+7.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+5.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25+1.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.77vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73+2.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+2.12vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-1.66vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-0.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-2.71vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-1.78vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-4.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-2.76vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.80-7.06vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.01-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Stanford University2.1912.3%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University1.314.0%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University1.525.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.2510.5%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
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9.15Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
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10.12Boston College1.364.8%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.178.9%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.855.8%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College1.715.6%1st Place
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10.22College of Charleston1.264.4%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University1.966.7%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University1.182.7%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University1.806.6%1st Place
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12.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.9%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University1.013.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| bella casaretto | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.