Race 1A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bailey Carter 13.7% 12.9% 14.5% 13.8% 11.8% 12.3% 7.6% 6.8% 3.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4%
Jessica McJones 7.8% 9.2% 11.1% 10.3% 12.6% 11.0% 11.3% 8.4% 8.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.1% 11.8% 11.9% 12.7% 10.1% 11.0% 10.8% 8.6% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Sarah Hermus 29.0% 24.8% 15.9% 12.9% 7.6% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sebby Turner 8.2% 9.1% 10.5% 9.6% 11.8% 11.5% 10.3% 9.1% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.8% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 4.4% 4.7% 7.4% 9.1% 10.8% 16.0% 16.7% 15.8%
Olivia Windemuller 8.9% 10.1% 10.6% 11.0% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.4% 2.7% 1.5%
Catherine Kerner 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 6.7% 9.2% 7.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.7% 10.7% 8.9% 4.5%
Natalie Tanczak 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.8% 8.3% 8.6% 12.5% 21.3% 28.7%
Lane Tobin 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 5.4% 7.2% 9.0% 8.5% 11.7% 11.7% 13.4% 10.8% 6.2%
Kayleigh Godfrey 2.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 2.6% 5.0% 3.8% 6.2% 9.6% 11.2% 19.1% 34.2%
Lindsay Powers 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 8.6% 7.9% 9.8% 10.4% 13.3% 13.3% 11.5% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.