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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+1.95vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+1.60vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.53+4.51vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-4.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44-0.74vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.53+0.48vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.00-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.40-3.44vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.61-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.95George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.51Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.48Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.43Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 33.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 31.6% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Powers | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 29.6% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| Lane Tobin | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.