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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+8.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+6.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.18+8.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.31+5.46vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52+3.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.25-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.79vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96-0.68vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-1.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.17-3.63vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.85-2.42vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.26-2.65vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-2.80vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.36-4.99vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.35vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.93-4.81vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University1.806.6%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Naval Academy1.183.5%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University2.1913.6%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University1.313.7%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University1.525.5%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.2510.7%1st Place
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11.79University of Pennsylvania1.163.0%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University1.966.9%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College1.716.6%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.177.4%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.854.7%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston1.263.0%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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10.01Boston College1.364.7%1st Place
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12.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.3%1st Place
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12.19Tufts University0.932.6%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Marina Conde | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 18.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.