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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+6.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.53vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.83vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.02vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.26vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.68vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.20+4.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+1.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.86-3.52vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-2.11vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.05vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.90-6.78vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.68Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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12.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.53Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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11.89Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.22Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Billing | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Tooker | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 46.2% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Erica Lush | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.