Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Hermus 28.6% 22.9% 18.2% 12.3% 7.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 7.6% 10.9% 10.4% 11.0% 10.3% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 8.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1%
Bailey Carter 14.9% 12.4% 15.7% 13.4% 13.0% 10.6% 8.1% 6.9% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Natalie Tanczak 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.4% 4.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.6% 12.5% 20.6% 30.5%
Sebby Turner 8.8% 8.6% 10.3% 10.4% 10.9% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 8.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.7%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 10.8% 13.3% 12.8% 9.7% 6.5% 5.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Jessica McJones 9.1% 9.8% 10.1% 11.9% 10.8% 10.1% 11.5% 8.9% 8.2% 5.2% 3.1% 1.3%
Catherine Kerner 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 12.1% 8.2% 4.3%
Lindsay Powers 4.6% 3.9% 5.6% 6.9% 9.7% 8.3% 9.6% 11.2% 13.1% 11.4% 10.2% 5.5%
Lane Tobin 4.8% 5.4% 4.4% 6.8% 6.3% 8.7% 9.4% 11.4% 12.7% 12.4% 11.5% 6.2%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 5.6% 5.6% 7.6% 8.2% 11.5% 16.2% 16.7% 16.9%
Kayleigh Godfrey 1.3% 3.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 4.5% 6.6% 9.4% 12.9% 20.0% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.