Race 4A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Hermus 27.8% 24.3% 18.0% 11.0% 8.1% 6.1% 1.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.8% 11.7% 12.8% 12.4% 11.3% 11.1% 11.4% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.1%
Natalie Tanczak 2.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 5.6% 5.7% 9.4% 9.9% 21.1% 32.4%
Bailey Carter 13.7% 14.2% 13.7% 14.7% 12.5% 9.6% 6.7% 8.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Sebby Turner 8.4% 8.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 7.8% 6.8% 4.2% 1.1%
Jessica McJones 9.0% 9.5% 9.4% 10.3% 10.4% 11.4% 12.2% 9.5% 8.9% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 3.0% 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 11.6% 15.1% 15.8% 15.0%
Olivia Windemuller 10.5% 9.2% 11.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 9.8% 8.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.7%
Lindsay Powers 3.8% 4.3% 5.7% 6.8% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 12.5% 10.4% 13.5% 10.7% 4.4%
Lane Tobin 5.2% 4.3% 4.6% 6.2% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 11.1% 12.0% 13.4% 10.2% 7.8%
Catherine Kerner 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 7.4% 7.9% 8.9% 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.9% 9.5% 4.7%
Kayleigh Godfrey 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 10.5% 13.5% 18.7% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.