Race 5A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sebby Turner 8.0% 7.5% 10.5% 11.5% 10.6% 9.7% 13.3% 10.6% 7.3% 5.9% 3.8% 1.3%
Jessica McJones 8.0% 10.0% 11.1% 10.1% 11.0% 10.5% 10.7% 11.1% 8.4% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4%
Bailey Carter 15.0% 14.0% 13.8% 12.6% 11.5% 11.7% 8.6% 7.4% 2.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.0% 13.5% 11.5% 13.4% 12.7% 10.7% 8.4% 8.4% 6.2% 3.3% 2.1% 0.8%
Natalie Tanczak 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 2.9% 6.0% 6.9% 9.2% 12.2% 17.8% 32.9%
Lane Tobin 4.3% 3.7% 7.0% 6.3% 5.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 13.1% 14.0% 13.0% 5.5%
Sarah Hermus 31.4% 23.2% 14.2% 12.3% 9.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lindsay Powers 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 9.6% 8.3% 9.6% 12.5% 13.6% 10.7% 6.0%
Olivia Windemuller 7.9% 9.2% 12.4% 11.7% 11.8% 12.4% 9.7% 8.6% 8.1% 5.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Catherine Kerner 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 6.8% 8.9% 8.8% 10.9% 10.8% 12.1% 11.2% 8.0% 4.0%
Kayleigh Godfrey 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 8.5% 12.5% 21.3% 32.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.8% 3.8% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 7.6% 9.4% 11.4% 14.8% 17.3% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.