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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+0.84vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.28vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00+4.53vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-0.44vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.53+2.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.61-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.40-2.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-3.48vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.53-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.53Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.56Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.35Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.53Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 29.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 29.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Catherine Kerner | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Lane Tobin | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Lindsay Powers | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.