Race 8A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sebby Turner 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.0% 10.9% 6.9% 6.5% 3.8% 1.4%
Sarah Hermus 28.6% 24.2% 18.0% 11.5% 7.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Powers 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.2% 8.7% 7.3% 12.6% 13.8% 14.3% 9.2% 6.1%
Olivia Windemuller 7.1% 9.7% 9.5% 12.5% 12.0% 11.6% 10.6% 8.1% 8.3% 5.8% 3.8% 1.0%
Bailey Carter 14.2% 14.3% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 10.3% 9.4% 4.6% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.9% 6.2% 9.4% 11.5% 14.2% 18.2% 15.4%
Natalie Tanczak 1.7% 3.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 7.5% 8.4% 11.7% 19.0% 30.5%
Aitana Mendiguren 12.2% 12.0% 12.9% 11.2% 10.5% 11.0% 9.1% 9.1% 6.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.6%
Jessica McJones 8.6% 8.7% 12.4% 12.5% 10.7% 10.6% 12.5% 8.5% 7.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Catherine Kerner 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 10.4% 11.5% 12.4% 10.4% 8.3% 4.5%
Kayleigh Godfrey 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.6% 4.3% 7.2% 7.5% 11.6% 20.4% 34.0%
Lane Tobin 5.0% 4.2% 3.6% 6.2% 8.3% 8.4% 9.7% 9.2% 13.1% 14.6% 12.1% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.