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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+0.09vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-0.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.42+0.09vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.23+1.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.78-0.75vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.50-1.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.99-3.19vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.95Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.09George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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8.34Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.0Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.52Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.0% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 18.8% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Susan Riley | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 21.4% |
| Emma Jakobson | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 14.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.