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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.21vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+0.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.42+1.05vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.50+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.78+0.21vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.23+0.42vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-4.01vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46-1.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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6.05George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.99Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.42Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.53Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.7% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 16.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 17.3% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 15.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Chapko | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 15.0% |
| Emma Jakobson | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Susan Riley | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 21.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 50.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.