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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+2.01vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.42+2.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.39vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.47+2.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-2.21vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.50-0.12vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.78-1.48vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-0.42vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.99-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.2George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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8.13Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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4.79Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.88Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.58Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.5% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.9% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 20.6% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Guo | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 15.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| Emma Jakobson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 52.6% |
| Elena Gonick | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.