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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.99vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+2.15vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.42+0.10vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.47+0.93vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.78-0.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.99-1.94vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-0.42vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.50-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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6.1George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.93Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.58Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.86Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.4% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.5% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Emily Guo | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 13.8% |
| Emma Jakobson | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 8.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 52.9% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.