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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+3.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-1.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.17vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21+0.84vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-2.85vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-0.38vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-7.97vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.86-6.60vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.48-10.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.09Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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14.75Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Billing | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 11.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| Amanda Tooker | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 49.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.