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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+4.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+7.62vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+5.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+4.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25+1.17vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.80+1.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.64vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.36+1.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.98vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-4.47vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.52-3.38vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-3.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-2.76vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-4.95vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-6.88vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Stanford University2.1913.7%1st Place
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9.62Brown University1.854.5%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University1.966.2%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College1.716.8%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.2511.2%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University1.807.3%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.1%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.736.2%1st Place
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10.11Boston College1.364.1%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Naval Academy1.183.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.178.0%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University1.524.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University1.313.9%1st Place
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12.24Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston1.264.4%1st Place
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12.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Marina Conde | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.