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📊 Prediction Accuracy
9.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.24vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+2.92vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.42+3.15vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.50+4.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.78+2.37vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23+2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-3.15vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46+1.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.35vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.99-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.15George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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8.08Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.5Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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9.49Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.1% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 13.5% |
| Emma Jakobson | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Susan Riley | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 16.7% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 47.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 17.8% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.