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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.20vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+1.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.78+3.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.46+2.46vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.99-2.05vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.50-2.14vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.23-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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6.02George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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9.46Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.86Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.36Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.7% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Jakobson | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 19.7% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 49.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 13.7% |
| Susan Riley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.