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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+3.08vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+1.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+4.16vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.42+2.23vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.31vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.47+0.89vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.98vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.46+0.63vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.50-2.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.78-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University2.770.3%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.23George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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7.89Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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4.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.63Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.92Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 13.6% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 25.4% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Tanner Chapko | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 17.7% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Guo | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 13.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 55.5% |
| Sarah Sackville | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 13.6% |
| Emma Jakobson | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.