← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+2.21vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.91+2.14vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.99+3.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.36-1.04vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University0.50+2.08vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-0.46+2.48vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University0.78-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.84vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.47-2.04vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.42-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
-
3.59U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
-
5.14Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
7.18Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
-
3.96University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
-
8.08Queen's University0.500.0%1st Place
-
9.48Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.34Harvard University0.780.0%1st Place
-
4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
-
7.96Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
-
5.9George Washington University1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 21.7% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 18.7% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Sackville | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 16.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 51.0% |
| Emma Jakobson | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 8.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 15.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Guo | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 14.8% |
| Tanner Chapko | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.