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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.24vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.06vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.15+4.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+8.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.41+5.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.43vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.25+4.51vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.45+2.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.25-3.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-3.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.27vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.77-6.09vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.50-6.07vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-4.76vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-3.73vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.63vs Predicted
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20George Washington University-0.49-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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12.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.51Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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11.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.24Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.27Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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18.96George Washington University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Soenke Jordan | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marley Mais | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bennett | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 4.7% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 27.4% | 9.7% |
| Connor West | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.